Prediction of China’s Carbon Peak Attainment Pathway from Both Production-Side and Consumption-Side Perspectives

To achieve global sustainable development and actively respond to climate change, China, as the world’s largest energy consumer carbon emitter, needs save reduce emissions without delay. By constructing LEAP-China production-side consumption-side models, we predict of China’s production side consumption in different scenarios from 2020 2050, respectively. The results show that under current policies, neither nor can targeted peak by 2030, which is contrary emission policy. Under scenario, CO2 would at 10,462.2 Mt 2029, 3 years later compared 9904.3 2032. Therefore, for both side, need coordinate various policies promote industrial restructuring structure optimization. In terms trade structure, existing import export should be adjusted industrially manufactured goods increase proportion technology-intensive products foreign realize transformation a high-carbon low-carbon structure.